Election Year Real
Estate
Virginia Peninsula
Real Estate: Are we better off than we
were four years ago?
Being it’s an election year there have been a lot of “are we
better off than we were four years ago” questions and commentary thrown
around. Mark Cuban wrote a blog that I found
mirrored my general thoughts on the topic and you can read it here. My focus isn’t the economy or country in
general though… I’m interested in real
estate. Not just any real estate, our
real estate… here on the Peninsula. How is our local real estate market doing now
compared to just a few months before President Obama took office?
Before I get to that question always keep in mind that real
estate is local. Market conditions,
common practices, laws and nuances vary greatly even within a particular
state. Your best source for information
specific to your area is always going to be local REALTORS that are actively
engaged in your local market and are paying attention to local trends. If you live in Newport News, Hampton, York
County or Poquoson (my definition of the Peninsula and the cities / counties
I’m using in my statistics) this blog is a great place to find information that
is specific to you.
With that in mind how is the Peninsula real estate market
doing compared to four years ago? Summed
up… not good. We are worse off in nearly every measurable
category. Here are a few examples:
*Data from
REIN MLS with a close date within 30 days from 9/7 in the given year. Exception being ’11 where 9/9 is used (from
my log).
As you can see from the above chart, the number of houses
sold, the average sales price and the average price per square foot have all
declined dramatically (20%, 20%, 25%) since 2008. You could not make a logical argument that
our housing market is better than it was in 2008 (Ok, you could make an argument that it's better for buyers but that's not an argument for the housing market being better in my mind).
It’s not all bad news though. As everyone knows the US economy fell apart in
2008. The comparison of how the market
is now compared to then can be made, however it doesn’t reflect the current trajectory
of our housing prices. It appears we hit
bottom in our local housing market in 2010.
Although it will likely be a long time before we see the prices we saw
at the peak in 2007, conditions do seem to be improving. Prices are up and inventory is decreasing as is noted in my most recent Peninsula Market Update.
As always if you have questions or comments, I'd love to hear from you.
Dan Peters
Associate Broker / REALTOR
Anchor Realty Group
Newport News, VA